Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
GLE
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
GLE
22%
22%
56%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 2
WAR
77%
14%
9%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
33%
25%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
77%
14%
9%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CRU
4 - 1
WAR
80%
13%
6%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 2
CRU
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
CRU
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 0
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
CRU
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |