Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CLI
5 - 0
GLE
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
GLE
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
41%
23%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 4
GLE
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
GLE
42%
24%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 0
CRU
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 3
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |