Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
GLE
2 - 2
GLE
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIM
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
GLE
1 - 2
NEW
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
GLE
2 - 0
LOU
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
CRU
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CRU
2 - 1
LOU
76%
16%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
DON
0 - 2
CRU
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |