NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 3-2
Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
GLE
1 - 2
BAN
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
HAR
0 - 1
GLE
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
GLE
6 - 1
COA
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
GLE
3 - 0
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CRU
0 - 2
GLE
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
NEW
2 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 0
LIM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |