Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
NEW
4 - 0
GLE
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 1
CLI
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
GLE
0 - 2
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
LAR
1 - 0
GLE
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 2
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CRU
2 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
POR
4 - 0
CRU
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |