Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
OMA
0 - 3
GLE
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
NEW
0 - 2
GLE
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
GLE
0 - 1
GLE
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
POR
2 - 2
GLE
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
CRU
0 - 3
GLE
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
NEW
3 - 0
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
POR
0 - 0
CRU
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
OMA
1 - 2
CRU
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |