Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 2
GLE
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
GLE
7 - 0
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1996 |
POR
2 - 1
GLE
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
CRU
4 - 2
LIN
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
BAN
0 - 2
CRU
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |