NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 1-1
Glenavon vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 1
GLE
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 2
GLE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 0
GLE
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
GLE
1 - 4
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 1
GLE
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BAN
3 - 1
COA
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ARD
0 - 1
BAN
44%
25%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
BAN
4 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BAL
0 - 1
BAN
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |