UCL 1/16
Global 0-3
Glenavon vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
AGF
0 - 0
GLE
60%
18%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
AGF
0 - 0
GLE
60%
18%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1956 |
NIC
5 - 1
AGF
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1956 |
AGF
1 - 1
NIC
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1955 |
REI
2 - 2
AGF
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1955 |
AGF
0 - 2
REI
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |