Glebe Rangers vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glebe Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
GLE
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
GLE
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
TOB
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
4 - 1
HAR
29%
24%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 3
NEY
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 0
INS
60%
20%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
DON
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |