Glapwell vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glapwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
GOO
1 - 1
GLA
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
GLA
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
STO
3 - 0
GLA
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
GLA
0 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
GLA
2 - 1
STA
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
QUO
3 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GOO
2 - 3
QUO
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
QUO
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
QUO
4 - 1
STA
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
QUO
1 - 3
LOU
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |