Glacis United vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glacis United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GLA
3 - 0
PHO
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
GLA
3 - 2
LIO
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
JOS
7 - 0
GLA
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
GIB
1 - 2
GLA
6%
15%
80%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LIO
2 - 4
GLA
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
JOS
0 - 1
CEU
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
LYN
3 - 1
JOS
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JOS
2 - 0
LRI
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
JOS
3 - 1
MAN
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
JOS
7 - 0
GLA
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |