Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
11º
10º
61
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
HUT
3 - 3
PGL
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WLO
1 - 0
PGL
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PGL
1 - 1
PUS
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RAK
0 - 1
PGL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PGL
1 - 0
ZAL
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
JAG
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 2
GDA
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LPO
5 - 0
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
WLO
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |