Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 0-3
Piast Gliwice vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
PGL
2 - 1
SIG
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
ZNO
0 - 1
PGL
26%
23%
52%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
FHV
0 - 0
PGL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
PGL
4 - 3
SMY
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 3
PGL
9%
16%
75%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GÖT
4 - 1
GIF
63%
21%
15%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 2
GÖT
12%
18%
70%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
GÖT
5 - 0
LLA
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
GÖT
2 - 2
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HEL
1 - 3
GÖT
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |