Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-4
Piast Gliwice vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
1 - 1
LPO
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
1 - 2
BAT
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
1 - 3
GDA
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 1
PGL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
7 - 1
MIE
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
BFC
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SUP
0 - 6
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |