UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 2-3
Piast Gliwice vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
1 - 3
GDA
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 1
PGL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
7 - 1
MIE
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
PGL
2 - 2
MGJ
79%
16%
6%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
PGL
2 - 2
SER
63%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BAT
4 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 1
PGL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
DNM
1 - 2
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
BAT
3 - 0
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
SPU
2 - 5
BAT
16%
20%
65%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |