Jastrzębie vs Świt Skolwin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
16º
11º
52
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
2 - 4
TSP
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POD
1 - 1
MGJ
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
MGJ
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
0 - 1
PGM
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MGJ
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Świt Skolwin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 3
POD
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PGM
4 - 1
SKO
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 0
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HUT
0 - 1
SKO
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SKO
1 - 1
KAL
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |