Jastrzębie vs Lech Poznań II analysis

Jastrzębie Lech Poznań II
56 ELO 55
-0.7% Tilt -3.8%
2401º General ELO ranking 2808º
57º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
50.3%
Jastrzębie
24.7%
Draw
25%
Lech Poznań II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
Jastrzębie
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25%
Win probability
Lech Poznań II
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jastrzębie
+16%
-22%
Lech Poznań II

Points and table prediction

Jastrzębie
Their league position
Lech Poznań II
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
10º
17º
11º
39
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pogon Siedlce
58
58
100%
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
56
56
100%
Kalisz
55
55
100%
Stal Stalowa Wola
54
54
0%
Chojniczanka Chojnice
54
54
0%
TS Polonia Bytom
53
53
100%
Radunia Stężyca
50
50
100%
Hutnik Krakow
49
49
100%
Zagłębie Lubin II
46
46
100%
LKS Lodz II
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Jastrzębie
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Wisla Pulawy
12º
41
41
12º
100%
SKRA Częstochowa
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Olimpia Grudziadz
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Olimpia Elblag
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Lech Poznań II
16º
39
39
16º
100%
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Stomil Olsztyn
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jastrzębie
Lech Poznań II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Jastrzębie
Lech Poznań II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jastrzębie
Jastrzębie
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2023
OLI
Olimpia Elblag
2 - 1
Jastrzębie
MGJ
38%
27%
35%
57 55 2 0
26 Aug. 2023
MGJ
Jastrzębie
4 - 2
TS Polonia Bytom
TSP
48%
26%
27%
56 54 2 +1
19 Aug. 2023
MGJ
Jastrzębie
0 - 0
Sandecja Nowy Sacz
SAN
50%
25%
24%
56 54 2 0
13 Aug. 2023
MGJ
Jastrzębie
1 - 0
Hutnik Krakow
HUT
48%
26%
27%
55 54 1 +1
08 Aug. 2023
KAL
Kalisz
1 - 1
Jastrzębie
MGJ
69%
18%
13%
55 63 8 0

Matches

Lech Poznań II
Lech Poznań II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2023
LPO
Lech Poznań II
2 - 1
Zagłębie Lubin II
ZAG
39%
25%
35%
53 56 3 0
25 Aug. 2023
RST
Radunia Stężyca
1 - 0
Lech Poznań II
LPO
58%
22%
20%
53 57 4 0
20 Aug. 2023
LPO
Lech Poznań II
1 - 1
SKRA Częstochowa
SKR
51%
25%
24%
53 53 0 0
13 Aug. 2023
OLI
Olimpia Grudziadz
1 - 2
Lech Poznań II
LPO
63%
21%
15%
52 61 9 +1
09 Aug. 2023
MOT
Motor Lublin
1 - 0
Lech Poznań II
LPO
76%
16%
8%
52 68 16 0