Real Giulianova vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GIU
1 - 4
FRA
30%
27%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
GIU
0 - 0
OLY
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 2
GIU
61%
21%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
GIU
0 - 1
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
GIU
36%
26%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MON
2 - 3
SDT
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SER
3 - 1
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
FCV
2 - 0
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
GAV
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
GHI
0 - 1
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |