Real Giulianova vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 0
TAR
46%
28%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SSS
0 - 0
GIU
59%
25%
16%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
GIU
3 - 1
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BEN
1 - 0
GIU
52%
27%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LAQ
3 - 0
FER
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
LAQ
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LAQ
3 - 1
ACI
24%
29%
47%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 0
LAQ
61%
24%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |