Real Giulianova vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 1
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACI
1 - 1
GIU
31%
27%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 2
GIU
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GIU
3 - 1
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
3 - 1
GIU
82%
14%
5%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
2 - 1
CHI
30%
27%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ACI
2 - 1
ASM
35%
27%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 2
ASM
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
EBO
0 - 3
ASM
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
USV
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |