Gisborne Thistle vs Havelock North Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
73.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havelock North Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
HNW
1 - 5
NWA
67%
18%
16%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
HNW
6 - 0
END
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
HNW
0 - 3
WSU
29%
21%
50%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |