Scottish Cup 1/256
Global 4-7
Girvan vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
77.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girvan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LOT
2 - 2
GIR
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 3
GIR
12%
18%
71%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WHI
3 - 1
GIR
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 5
AUC
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
GIR
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LOT
2 - 2
GIR
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HER
1 - 4
LOT
15%
18%
67%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
LOT
7 - 0
CRA
86%
10%
5%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LOT
6 - 0
TYN
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 4
LOT
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +2 |