Girona vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
ATH
0 - 1
GIR
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GIR
3 - 0
ESP
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 4
ZAR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 3
GIR
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
LUG
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NUM
6 - 3
CDT
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 1
UDL
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
NUM
0 - 2
EIB
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NUM
2 - 3
TUD
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NUM
0 - 2
ATM
14%
24%
62%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | 0 |