Girona vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 5
GIR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
YEC
0 - 2
GIR
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
GIR
1 - 3
GIM
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CEM
0 - 0
GIR
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
GIR
4 - 2
RCD
38%
26%
35%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
YEC
55%
25%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
GIM
2 - 2
NOV
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 2
CEM
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
RCD
1 - 2
NOV
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
FCB
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |