Girona vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
OSA
2 - 2
GIR
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
GIR
3 - 3
ALC
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LEV
0 - 1
GIR
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
GIR
0 - 1
OSA
19%
29%
52%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 1
NOV
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
BEN
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
HER
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
OSA
1 - 1
HER
27%
30%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 3
ALC
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LEV
3 - 0
HER
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |