Girona vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
FIG
2 - 1
GIR
60%
23%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GIR
6 - 0
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 1
GIR
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
GIR
2 - 1
MLL
30%
26%
45%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 0
GIR
63%
23%
14%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CAS
1 - 0
YEC
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
CAS
1 - 3
VCF
15%
27%
59%
|
62 | 92 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GIM
2 - 2
CAS
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CAS
3 - 1
CEM
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
RCD
1 - 2
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |