Giouchtas vs Aris Petroupolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
10º
1º
36
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giouchtas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AAP
0 - 0
GIO
75%
16%
8%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 0
GIO
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATS
2 - 0
GIO
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
AAO
0 - 0
GIO
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 1
ANK
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aris Petroupolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ASP
3 - 1
POR
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AAO
2 - 1
ASP
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |