Ginglin Cesson vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 2
PLA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 0
LIM
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STA
1 - 1
PLA
60%
23%
18%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 1
PON
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 2
PLA
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |