Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 0
GDA
80%
15%
5%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 4
MAF
11%
24%
65%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
GDA
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 1
PRA
6%
13%
81%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GDA
2 - 4
ALC
11%
20%
69%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALC
20%
24%
57%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
36 | 80 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
GDR
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 1
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |