Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Penelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GDA
1 - 1
CAL
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
GDA
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GDA
2 - 1
MOR
75%
16%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 2
GDA
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
GDA
1 - 3
POM
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Penelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 3
CDT
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
PEN
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALC
27%
24%
50%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 3
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |