Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Penelense analysis

Ginásio de Alcobaça Penelense
36 ELO 27
-4.8% Tilt -3.9%
25442º General ELO ranking 21228º
536º Country ELO ranking 356º
ELO win probability
73.6%
Ginásio de Alcobaça
16.3%
Draw
10.1%
Penelense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
Ginásio de Alcobaça
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.1%
Win probability
Penelense
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ginásio de Alcobaça
Penelense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ginásio de Alcobaça
Ginásio de Alcobaça
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2013
GDA
Ginásio de Alcobaça
1 - 1
Caldas
CAL
41%
25%
34%
37 42 5 0
27 Jan. 2013
BEN
Beneditense
1 - 1
Ginásio de Alcobaça
GDA
20%
23%
57%
37 24 13 0
20 Jan. 2013
GDA
Ginásio de Alcobaça
2 - 1
Mortágua
MOR
75%
16%
10%
37 25 12 0
13 Jan. 2013
OLI
Oliveira Hospital
1 - 2
Ginásio de Alcobaça
GDA
49%
24%
28%
36 37 1 +1
06 Jan. 2013
GDA
Ginásio de Alcobaça
1 - 3
Pombal
POM
49%
23%
28%
38 38 0 -2

Matches

Penelense
Penelense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2013
PEN
Penelense
0 - 3
CD Torres Novas
CDT
43%
24%
33%
27 29 2 0
27 Jan. 2013
CAL
Caldas
2 - 0
Penelense
PEN
71%
18%
11%
28 42 14 -1
20 Jan. 2013
PEN
Penelense
0 - 1
Alcanenense
ALC
27%
24%
50%
28 40 12 0
13 Jan. 2013
BEN
Beneditense
1 - 1
Penelense
PEN
34%
25%
42%
29 24 5 -1
06 Jan. 2013
PEN
Penelense
0 - 3
32%
24%
44%
30 39 9 -1