Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Moita do Boi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GDA
4 - 1
CUL
87%
10%
4%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GDA
5 - 0
VIE
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GDA
1 - 1
NAZ
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GDA
1 - 0
ALV
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GDA
3 - 1
BEN
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moita do Boi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 1
MDB
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MDB
6 - 0
PEL
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
MDB
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MDB
1 - 0
CCA
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ADP
3 - 2
MDB
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |