Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
65.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
GDA
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 1
PRA
6%
13%
81%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GDA
2 - 4
ALC
11%
20%
69%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
GDA
79%
16%
6%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GDR
3 - 1
GDA
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 1
ALC
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAF
27%
30%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAF
3 - 0
GDR
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 3
MAF
16%
26%
59%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAF
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |