Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Guiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GDA
1 - 1
PAT
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LEM
3 - 1
GDA
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
0 - 3
GDA
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GDA
3 - 2
PEL
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
GDA
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALQ
4 - 3
GUI
11%
18%
71%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
PEL
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
GUI
42%
24%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 2
CCA
81%
13%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 1
GUI
21%
22%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |