Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Alqueidão Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
PEL
2 - 1
GDA
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GDA
4 - 1
PEN
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CCA
0 - 1
GDA
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GDA
2 - 0
ADP
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GDA
4 - 4
MDB
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 1
ALQ
76%
16%
9%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 3
PEL
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 0
ALQ
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALQ
0 - 3
CCA
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 2
ALQ
29%
24%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |