Gimnasia Concepción vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
44%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GIM
5 - 0
SOL
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GIM
1 - 1
SPB
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DPR
3 - 1
GIM
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
GIM
1 - 1
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GAF
4 - 4
GIM
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 3
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 0
DPR
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 1
GAF
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 0
GAF
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GAF
4 - 4
GIM
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |