Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
CIP
3 - 0
GIM
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 0
GIM
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
JUU
1 - 1
GIM
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
RAO
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
RIV
3 - 0
DES
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
JUU
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 0
DES
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
DES
2 - 2
MAI
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |