Gillingham vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
GIL
3 - 1
COV
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
BHA
2 - 1
GIL
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
GIL
3 - 1
ROT
48%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
WIG
2 - 0
GIL
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 1
GIL
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
PNE
3 - 0
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
REA
3 - 0
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
REA
1 - 0
QPR
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 2
REA
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
WOL
4 - 1
REA
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |