Gillingham vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
GIL
55%
23%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
GIL
1 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 1
GIL
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
DER
2 - 1
GIL
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
GIL
0 - 3
SHE
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
ROT
5 - 1
REA
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
REA
3 - 1
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
NTT
0 - 1
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2004 |
REA
1 - 2
PNE
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
REA
1 - 1
IPS
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |