Gillingham vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
CHL
2 - 1
GIL
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
GRI
1 - 1
GIL
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
GIL
0 - 4
WOL
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
IPS
0 - 1
GIL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GIL
3 - 0
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
REA
2 - 0
MIL
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
REA
1 - 0
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
PNE
1 - 0
REA
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
REA
3 - 1
IPS
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
GRI
0 - 3
REA
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |