Gillingham vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 3
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 1
GIL
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
3 - 1
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 6
GIL
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
GIL
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
ROT
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
STF
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
POR
3 - 2
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 2
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |