Gillingham vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GIL
5 - 0
SWI
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GIL
1 - 0
STF
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GIL
2 - 1
ROC
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 0
GIL
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 1
GIL
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CRY
1 - 1
PLY
54%
27%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PLY
1 - 2
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
QPR
0 - 0
PLY
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
PLY
0 - 3
DON
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BIR
1 - 1
PLY
65%
23%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |