Gillingham vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GIL
3 - 0
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
SOU
1 - 0
GIL
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GIL
1 - 1
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MKD
2 - 0
GIL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
BHA
2 - 0
GIL
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
OLD
0 - 2
LEE
26%
26%
49%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OLD
0 - 1
HUR
36%
26%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BHA
0 - 2
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
OLD
1 - 3
SOU
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 0
OLD
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |