Gillingham vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
GIL
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 0
GIL
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 2
GIL
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GIL
1 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
5 - 0
GIL
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
ROT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
STF
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BBU
1 - 2
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
IPS
2 - 2
MOR
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
BPO
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |