Gillingham vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DAG
1 - 2
GIL
26%
26%
49%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
WYC
0 - 1
GIL
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 1
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 2
GIL
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MID
2 - 1
CRY
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
MID
3 - 2
BUR
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
MID
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 2
MID
24%
24%
53%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SCU
0 - 1
MID
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |