Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
DON
2 - 1
GIL
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 0
GIL
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
BHA
4 - 2
GIL
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GIL
0 - 0
YEO
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
GIL
1 - 0
HUR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 2
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 0
NTT
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
CRE
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 1
CUM
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 1
CRE
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |