Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
PNE
1 - 0
GIL
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
IPS
1 - 0
GIL
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
GIL
0 - 1
YOR
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1996 |
POS
0 - 1
GIL
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
GIL
1 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
CRE
5 - 1
STF
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
WAL
1 - 0
CRE
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
CRE
4 - 1
KID
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
BUR
2 - 0
CRE
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
CRE
3 - 0
WYC
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |