Gillingham vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 0
GIL
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
3 - 1
GIL
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 4
GIL
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
GIL
0 - 2
STA
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
DON
2 - 1
GIL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 5
OXF
23%
25%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
BUR
3 - 4
WIG
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
5 - 1
BUR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 3
DON
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
IPS
2 - 1
BUR
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |