Gillingham vs Arsenal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GIL
3 - 2
WOK
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
CRE
0 - 1
GIL
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GIL
0 - 2
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
IPS
1 - 0
GIL
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GIL
0 - 2
FLE
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 2
ARS
46%
22%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
IPS
1 - 2
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARS
37%
24%
40%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
POS
1 - 0
ARS
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |