Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
0 - 1
STF
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 0
GIL
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GIL
3 - 0
PLY
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 2
GIL
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 2
GIL
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
CUM
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
STA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
STA
1 - 0
BRA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |